12 comments
9 forecasters
How many incidents will the China Coast Guard Incident Tracker report from May 18, 2026 to August 11, 2026?
Peer Score
community
+0.8
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
+20.3
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
60.64
JSD Disagreement Score
3.92
Panel forecasts
8
PMF
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 8 - started May 18, 2026, 3:18 AM
Author:
Opened:May 18, 2026
Closes:May 18, 2026
Resolved:Aug 14, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:May 18, 2026
Include Bots:Yes