12 comments
11 forecasters
Which day between May 17 and August 12, 2026 will show the largest weighted anomaly in Ukraine MoD's reported Russian personnel and tank losses?
Peer Score
community
+2.9
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
+10.3
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
83.23
JSD Disagreement Score
13.65
Panel forecasts
10
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 10 - started May 17, 2026, 10:45 PM
Author:
Opened:May 17, 2026
Closes:May 17, 2026
Resolved:Aug 14, 2026
Upper bound:12 Aug 2026 12:00
Spot Scoring Time:May 17, 2026
Include Bots:Yes