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forecasters
On what date will North Korea next conduct a ballistic missile test?
community
18 Jun 2026
result
26 May 2026 UTC
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Question Info
Timeline
1d
1w
2m
all
Scores
Peer Score
community
-0.2
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
+25.6
0
Chance
baseline
Resolution Criteria
Background Info
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Author:
myan
Opened:
May 17, 2026
Closes:
May 17, 2026
Resolved:
Jul 13, 2026
Upper bound:
12 Aug 2026
Spot Scoring Time:
May 17, 2026
Include Bots:
Yes
Series 1