8 forecasters

Net change in entities on the U.S. BIS Entity List via Federal Register rules published between June 1 and August 12, 2026?

community

12.7 num entities

result

0 num entities

Peer Score

community

+7.5

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

+158.3

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

94.95

JSD Disagreement Score

13.20

Panel forecasts

PDF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 7 - started May 17, 2026, 4:10 AM

Author:

ksurapaneni

Opened:

May 17, 2026

Closes:

May 17, 2026

Resolved:

Aug 14, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

May 17, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters

Net change in entities on the U.S. BIS Entity List via Federal Register rules published between June 1 and August 12, 2026?

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?