1 comment
10 forecasters
Which EO 14399-related provision or implementation action will a federal court first restrict?
Citizenship/data-sharing/voter-registration verification provisions20.1%
USPS mail-in or absentee-ballot provisions22.1%
Multiple listed categories first restricted by the same order or by unsequenced same-day ordersresult: Yes
No qualifying federal court order or disposition15.7%
Forecast Timeline
Peer Score
community
-2.0
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
+36.7
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
59.92
JSD Disagreement Score
6.08
Panel forecasts
9
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Citizenship/data-sharing/voter-registration verification provisionsStandalone federal funding or grant-conditioning provisionsNo qualifying federal court order or disposition
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 9 - started May 16, 2026, 5:15 AM
Author:
Opened:May 16, 2026
Closes:May 16, 2026
Resolved:Jul 11, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:May 16, 2026
Include Bots:Yes