11 forecasters

What will the Milei − Sheinbaum "Malo/muy malo" gap (pp) be in the latest AtlasIntel Latam Pulse pair published before 2026-08-12 12:00 UTC?

community

21.9 Percentage points

result

30 Percentage points

Peer Score

community

+0.3

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

+0.4

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

60.54

JSD Disagreement Score

4.57

Panel forecasts

PMF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 10 - started May 11, 2026, 5:13 PM

Author:

mrvella14

Opened:

May 11, 2026

Closes:

May 11, 2026

Resolved:

Aug 14, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

May 11, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters

What will the Milei − Sheinbaum "Malo/muy malo" gap (pp) be in the latest AtlasIntel Latam Pulse pair published before 2026-08-12 12:00 UTC?

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?