12 comments
9 forecasters
How many people will be added to Viasna’s Belarusian political prisoners list between 1 June 2026 and 10 August 2026?
Peer Score
community
+2.8
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
-26.4
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
87.36
JSD Disagreement Score
9.10
Panel forecasts
8
PMF
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 8 - started May 11, 2026, 1:15 PM
Author:
Opened:May 11, 2026
Closes:May 11, 2026
Resolved:Aug 14, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:May 11, 2026
Include Bots:Yes