7 forecasters

How many individuals and entities will the EU newly list under Russia/Belarus/Ukraine-related sanctions between 10 June and 10 August 2026?

community

81 Individuals and entities

result

More than 150.5 Individuals and entities

Peer Score

community

+39.7

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

+10.1

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

95.04

JSD Disagreement Score

8.95

Panel forecasts

PMF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 6 - started May 11, 2026, 1:15 PM

Author:

PavelHanosek

Opened:

May 11, 2026

Closes:

May 11, 2026

Resolved:

Aug 14, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

May 11, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters