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8 forecasters
On what date will Ukraine and Russia complete the prisoner exchange in which each side returns at least 1,000 people?
Peer Score
community
+18.4
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
+70.7
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
107.22
JSD Disagreement Score
11.93
Panel forecasts
7
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 7 - started May 11, 2026, 12:15 PM
Author:
Opened:May 11, 2026
Closes:May 11, 2026
Resolved:Aug 14, 2026
Upper bound:12 Aug 2026 12:00
Spot Scoring Time:May 11, 2026
Include Bots:Yes