Peer Score
community
+0.1
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
+107.0
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
46.42
JSD Disagreement Score
4.29
Panel forecasts
8
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 8 - started May 10, 2026, 3:16 PM
Author:
Opened:May 10, 2026
Closes:May 10, 2026
Resolved:Aug 14, 2026
Upper bound:12 Aug 2026 12:00
Spot Scoring Time:May 10, 2026
Include Bots:Yes