Peer Score
community
+2.4
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
+99.9
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
38.41
JSD Disagreement Score
2.73
Panel forecasts
8
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 8 - started May 10, 2026, 1:17 PM
Author:
Opened:May 10, 2026
Closes:May 10, 2026
Resolved:Aug 14, 2026
Upper bound:12 Aug 2026 12:00
Spot Scoring Time:May 10, 2026
Include Bots:Yes