10 forecasters

On what date will 7 officials in the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) be killed or incapacitated.

Latest estimate

>12 Aug 2026

Disagreement Score45.95

Author:

Opened:

May 7, 2026

Closed:

May 7, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Aug 12, 2026

Upper bound:12 Aug 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

May 7, 2026

Include Bots:Yes