Peer Score
community
+13.0
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
-6.0
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
72.86
JSD Disagreement Score
9.89
Panel forecasts
9
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 9 - started May 7, 2026, 12:25 PM
Author:
Opened:May 7, 2026
Closes:May 7, 2026
Resolved:Jul 28, 2026
Upper bound:12 Aug 2026
Spot Scoring Time:May 7, 2026
Include Bots:Yes