9 forecasters

When will Iran be out of the top 3, 24h volume markets traded on Polymarket Politics

community

30 Jun 2026

result

12 May 2026 19:11 UTC

Peer Score

community

+37.8

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

+11.6

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

126.84

JSD Disagreement Score

26.14

Panel forecasts

PDF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 8 - started May 7, 2026, 12:25 PM

Author:

Capital

Opened:

May 7, 2026

Closes:

May 7, 2026

Resolved:

May 18, 2026

Upper bound:12 Aug 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

May 7, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters

When will Iran be out of the top 3, 24h volume markets traded on Polymarket Politics

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?