1 comment
8 forecasters
On what date will 10 or more government officials be incapacitated or killed as a direct result of the Iran conflict
Latest estimate
>12 Aug 2026
Disagreement Score129.23
Author:
Opened:May 7, 2026
Closed:May 7, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Aug 12, 2026
Upper bound:12 Aug 2026
Spot Scoring Time:May 7, 2026
Include Bots:Yes