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12 forecasters
Which organization will have created the leading model on the METR 80% time horizon leaderboard on August 10, 2026?
This question is closed for predictions, and is waiting to be resolved
Google34%
Anthropic26%
OpenAI29.8%
xAI5%
Other5.2%
Forecast Timeline
Disagreement Score34.66
Author:
Opened:May 6, 2026
Closed:May 6, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Aug 10, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:May 6, 2026
Include Bots:Yes