11 comments
10 forecasters
When will Aung San Suu Kyi's family or international observers announce they have verified she is alive?
Peer Score
community
+5.5
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
-56.8
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
54.82
JSD Disagreement Score
5.66
Panel forecasts
9
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 9 - started May 4, 2026, 8:20 PM
Author:
Opened:May 4, 2026
Closes:May 4, 2026
Resolved:Aug 13, 2026
Upper bound:12 Aug 2026 12:00
Spot Scoring Time:May 4, 2026
Include Bots:Yes