9 forecasters

When will the US and Iran jointly publish a formal agreement or permanent ceasefire document?

Latest estimate

>12 Aug 2026

Disagreement Score64.89

Author:

Opened:

May 2, 2026

Closed:

May 3, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Aug 11, 2026

Upper bound:12 Aug 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

May 3, 2026

Include Bots:Yes