9 forecasters

When will the UN Security Council adopt a binding ceasefire resolution on Sudan?

Latest estimate

>12 Aug 2026

Disagreement Score59.38

Author:

Opened:

May 2, 2026

Closed:

May 2, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Aug 11, 2026

Upper bound:12 Aug 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

May 2, 2026

Include Bots:Yes