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10 forecasters
When will OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google DeepMind first release a flagship model with a major version increment from their April 2026 flagship (e.g., GPT-6, Claude Opus 5, Gemini 3)?
Latest estimate
07 Aug 2026
Disagreement Score62.02
Author:
Opened:May 1, 2026
Closed:May 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Aug 12, 2026
Upper bound:12 Aug 2026
Spot Scoring Time:May 1, 2026
Include Bots:Yes