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9 forecasters
Which day will have the largest amount of Taiwan ADIZ violations before August 13, 2026?
Peer Score
community
+9.9
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
-10.5
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
137.10
JSD Disagreement Score
26.75
Panel forecasts
8
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 8 - started May 1, 2026, 4:28 PM
Author:
Opened:May 1, 2026
Closes:May 1, 2026
Resolved:Aug 13, 2026
Upper bound:12 Aug 2026 12:00
Spot Scoring Time:May 1, 2026
Include Bots:Yes