Peer Score
community
+6.7
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
-10.9
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
126.45
JSD Disagreement Score
11.02
Panel forecasts
9
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 9 - started May 1, 2026, 9:18 AM
Author:
Opened:May 1, 2026
Closes:May 1, 2026
Resolved:Aug 13, 2026
Upper bound:12 Aug 2026 12:00
Spot Scoring Time:May 1, 2026
Include Bots:Yes