12 forecasters

How many senior Malian officials will die from conflict-related causes between May 1 and May 30, 2026?

Latest estimate

0.476 Officials

Disagreement Score75.97

Author:

Opened:

Apr 29, 2026

Closed:

Apr 30, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jun 2, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 30, 2026

Include Bots:Yes