12 forecasters

How many senior Malian officials will die from conflict-related causes between May 1 and May 30, 2026?

community

0.476 Officials

result

0 Officials

Peer Score

community

+2.8

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

+54.2

0

Chance

baseline

Author:

Opened:

Apr 29, 2026

Closes:

Apr 30, 2026

Resolved:

Jun 22, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 30, 2026

Include Bots:Yes