12 forecasters

How many senior Malian officials will die from conflict-related causes between May 1 and May 30, 2026?

community

0.476 Officials

result

0 Officials

Peer Score

community

+2.8

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

+54.2

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

78.68

JSD Disagreement Score

9.29

Panel forecasts

PMF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 11 - started Apr 29, 2026, 11:15 PM

Author:

myan

Opened:

Apr 29, 2026

Closes:

Apr 30, 2026

Resolved:

Jun 22, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 30, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters