10 forecasters

How many workers will BLS report were involved in major work stoppages beginning in July 2026?

community

8046 Workers

result

7300 Workers

Peer Score

community

+1.6

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

+47.4

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

110.13

JSD Disagreement Score

9.46

Panel forecasts

PDF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 10 - started Apr 27, 2026, 7:20 PM

Author:

pgodzin

Opened:

Apr 27, 2026

Closes:

Apr 27, 2026

Resolved:

Aug 18, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 27, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters

How many workers will BLS report were involved in major work stoppages beginning in July 2026?

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?