9 forecasters

When will the merged SpaceX-xAI entity complete an Initial Public Offering (IPO)?

community

29 Jun 2026

result

12 Jun 2026 15:57 UTC

Peer Score

community

+12.6

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

-34.3

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

123.63

JSD Disagreement Score

21.85

Panel forecasts

PDF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 8 - started Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM

Author:

mantic-questions

Opened:

Apr 27, 2026

Closes:

Apr 27, 2026

Resolved:

Jun 12, 2026

Upper bound:12 Aug 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 27, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

Will a named Atlantic hurricane make landfall on the continental United States between 8 and 18 September 2026?

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters