11 forecasters

Who will receive the most votes in the Republican primary for the U.S. Senate in Louisiana on May 16, 2026?

Incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy27.6%

Rep. Julia Letlowresult: Yes

State Treasurer John Fleming24.3%

Any other candidate1.6%

Forecast Timeline

Incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy

Rep. Julia Letlow

State Treasurer John Fleming

Any other candidate

Peer Score

community

+2.9

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

+41.8

Chance

baseline

Author:

Opened:

Apr 24, 2026

Closes:

Apr 24, 2026

Resolved:

May 18, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 24, 2026

Include Bots:Yes