11 forecasters

What will be the lower bound of the FOMC’s fed funds target range following its June 16–17, 2026 meeting?

community

3.51 percentage points

result

3.5 percentage points

Peer Score

community

+4.6

Average

of peers

Baseline Score

community

+93.3

Chance

baseline

Disagreement Score

115.57

JSD Disagreement Score

16.13

Panel forecasts

PMF

CDF

This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.

Mantic

Forecast 1 of 10 - started Apr 24, 2026, 1:26 AM

Author:

Opened:

Apr 24, 2026

Closes:

Apr 24, 2026

Resolved:

Jun 22, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Apr 24, 2026

Include Bots:Yes

Series 1

What will the FOMC decide about the federal funds target range at its September 2026 meeting?

Raise the target range by more than 25 basis points

N/A

Raise the target range by exactly 25 basis points

N/A

Leave the target range unchanged at 3.50-3.75%

N/A

Lower the target range by any amount

N/A

4 forecasters

On which date will the S&P 500 post its largest single-day percentage move between 8 and 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters

What will the price of bitcoin be on each day from 8 to 18 September 2026?

4 forecasters