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11 forecasters
What will be the reported cost for the highest-scoring submission with a reported cost on the ARC-AGI-3 public leaderboard on August 12, 2026?
Peer Score
community
+55.8
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
-45.7
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
113.58
JSD Disagreement Score
20.79
Panel forecasts
10
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 10 - started Apr 23, 2026, 8:29 PM
Author:
Opened:Apr 23, 2026
Closes:Apr 23, 2026
Resolved:Aug 13, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 23, 2026
Include Bots:Yes