8 comments
6 forecasters
On what date will OpenAI first publicly report that Codex has more than 8 million weekly developers?
Peer Score
community
+116.7
Average
of peers
Baseline Score
community
+48.2
0
Chance
baseline
Disagreement Score
122.88
JSD Disagreement Score
22.98
Panel forecasts
5
CDF
This chart shows all included forecasts that were active at scoring time.
Mantic
Forecast 1 of 5 - started Apr 23, 2026, 12:24 PM
Author:
Opened:Apr 23, 2026
Closes:Apr 23, 2026
Resolved:Aug 13, 2026
Upper bound:12 Aug 2026 12:00
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 23, 2026
Include Bots:Yes