1 comment
11 forecasters
How many distinct studies newly posted on ClinicalTrials.gov (First Posted dates 2026-05-30 to 2026-08-11) will mention a specific commercial LLM product version or AI lab company by name?
Latest estimate
28 Studies
This question is closed for forecasting.
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10 forecasters
When will the US and Cuba have a diplomatic meeting?
Latest estimate
20 Jun 2026
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Series 1
3 questions resolved
Closes in 2 months15 forecasters
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11 forecasters
How many Statements of Reasons (SoRs) for Fully Automated content restrictions will TikTok submit to the EU Digital Services Act (DSA) Transparency Database in July 2026?
Latest estimate
284M SoRs
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11 forecasters
What will be the total minutes of en-route ATFM delay attributed to "ATC Staffing" at the Athens ACC in July 2026?
Latest estimate
141k minutes
This question is closed for forecasting.
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11 forecasters
How many civilian fatalities will ACLED record in the Sahel and Centre-Nord regions of Burkina Faso between June 1 and July 25, 2026?
Latest estimate
74.6 Number of fatalities
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11 forecasters
What will U.S. customs-duty receipts (billions of dollars, seasonally adjusted annual rate) be in Q2 2026?
Latest estimate
283 billions USD
This question is closed for forecasting.
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11 forecasters
What will be the total number of Assigned Provider Independent (PI) IPv4 address block transfers published by the RIPE NCC in July 2026?
Latest estimate
80.4 transfers
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11 forecasters
What will be the margin of victory in the Makerfield by-election?
Latest estimate
5.41 percentage points
This question is closed for forecasting.
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10 forecasters
On what assessment date will Drewry’s World Container Index next exceed $3,100 per 40-foot container?
Latest estimate
17 Jun 2026
This question is closed for forecasting.
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10 forecasters
When will AI solve the next Frontier Math problem?
Latest estimate
>12 Aug 2026
This question is closed for forecasting.